Risk-first
crypto trading.
Know before you enter.
Trade Logic gives you a real-time read on Bitcoin market conditions before you risk a penny. Check the bias score, size your position correctly, then decide — enter with a plan or stay flat. No predictions. No hype. Just rule-based risk management.
Fetching live market conditions…
How I got here
I started trading in 2019. Like a lot of people, I jumped straight in — put real money to work with very little understanding of what I was actually doing. The market had its own plans, and without a framework for managing risk I was essentially navigating blind.
I found leverage trading, which made everything worse before it got better. I was following YouTube traders without understanding the terminology, the mechanics, or the risk I was taking on with every position. I lost money — not all of it, but enough to take it seriously. Eventually I found a good community that helped me understand what I was actually doing, and things started to change.
The turning point wasn't a better strategy or a better indicator. It was understanding risk management. Once I started sizing positions correctly — calculating the exact position size from my stop loss out rather than guessing — my results stabilised. Losses stopped being account-threatening. Profits became consistent. It sounds simple, but getting that one thing right changed everything.
"Risk management isn't a constraint on your trading — it's what makes long-term trading possible. Profits are a by-product of getting the risk right. I learned that the hard way, and this site exists so you don't have to."
Why I built the tools
I needed somewhere to consolidate everything I'd learned — and I needed tools that actually worked the way I thought about trading. The position size calculator started as a personal spreadsheet. The critical feature I couldn't find anywhere else: it shows your real net profit at any given moment, including exchange selling fees. When you're in a tight trade and trying to decide whether to close for a small profit or hold, knowing your exact net position after fees is the difference between a good decision and a guess.
From there I built the BTC bias dashboard, the signal aggregator, and the multi-timeframe tools — all things I use in my own trading process. The blog covers the fundamentals every new trader needs: not just theory, but the practical application of risk management, technical analysis, and position discipline that actually keeps you in the game long enough to get good.
What Trade Logic is built around
Everything here is built on one principle: define the risk before you enter. Not the potential profit — the maximum loss. If you can answer "exactly how much do I lose if this trade goes wrong?" before you click buy, you're trading with a plan. If you can't, you're gambling. The tools on this site exist to make that question easy to answer on every single trade.
I'm also a Pine Script developer on TradingView, where I publish the indicators I use on my own charts — including the MA Stack, the support/resistance confluence scorer, and the bias overlay. If you want to add them to your setup, they're linked from the TradingView profile.
Everything you need, nothing you don't
Three focused tools that work together — read the market, size the position, plan the trade.
BTC Market Bias Dashboard
Real-time Bitcoin bias score combining trend, momentum and volatility into a single 0–100 reading. Know whether conditions favour risk-on or risk-off before you look at a chart.
Crypto Risk & Position Size Calculator
Enter your account, risk percentage, entry and stop — get the exact position size that caps your loss. Includes P&L, liquidation price, and risk/reward across 4 take-profit levels.
Risk-First Trading Frameworks
Rule-based frameworks for discretionary spot and swing trading. When to enter, how to size, where to invalidate — and when conditions don't justify any trade at all.
Go deeper with structured learning
Practical resources built around the same methodology as the tools. Digital download, instant access.
- Risk management fundamentals
- Multi-timeframe strategy framework
- Position sizing & stop loss system
- Market regime identification
- Signal reading & confluence
- 119 pages across 7 modules
Everything in one structured course — from reading market conditions to executing and sizing trades with confidence. The complete framework I use.
- Cycle-based accumulation rules
- Stage analysis methodology
- DCA & rebalancing triggers
A structured approach to long-term BTC accumulation — when to add, hold or reduce. No market timing, just rules.
- Position size cheat sheet
- Pre-trade checklist
- Regime filter quick reference
The core frameworks on one page. Print it, use it before every session.
Guides and frameworks
In-depth technical analysis and risk management guides — written from practical trading experience.
Crypto Position Sizing Guide
A complete walkthrough on sizing positions using account-based risk rules and volatility-adjusted stops.
Read guide → Technical analysisSupport and Resistance: Key Price Levels
How to identify, weight and trade the most important price levels on your chart — including confluence and role reversal setups.
Read guide → BeginnerBeginner's Guide to Crypto Trading
Everything a new crypto trader needs to understand about risk, market structure and building a repeatable process.
Read guide →Risk management basics
How do I calculate position size in crypto trading?
Divide your maximum risk amount (typically 1–2% of your account) by the distance between your entry price and stop-loss price. For example: a $10,000 account risking 1% = $100 max loss. If your stop is $500 from entry, your position size is $100 ÷ $500 = 0.2 BTC. Trade Logic's position size calculator does this automatically.
What is a good risk percentage per trade in crypto?
Professional traders typically risk 0.5%–2% per trade. Risking more than 2–3% per trade dramatically increases the chance of an unrecoverable drawdown. In Risk-Off or high-volatility conditions, reducing to 0.5% is sensible. Trade Logic's frameworks default to 1% as a baseline.
What is Bitcoin market bias and how is it calculated?
Bitcoin market bias is a directional assessment of whether BTC conditions favour long exposure, short, or staying flat. Trade Logic combines trend (EMA alignment), momentum (7-day change), and volatility to produce a 0–100 risk score. Above 66 = Risk-On; below 34 = Risk-Off. See the full BTC Market Bias dashboard.
What is a market regime in crypto trading?
A market regime describes the current state of price action — Uptrend, Downtrend, or Range/Mixed. Knowing the regime helps you apply the right strategy: trend-following in uptrends, defensive sizing in downtrends, reduced exposure in choppy ranges. Trade Logic identifies the current BTC regime using moving average alignment and momentum signals.
What is the difference between risk-reward ratio and position sizing?
Risk-reward ratio measures potential gain versus potential loss on a single trade (1:3 = risking $100 to make $300). Position sizing determines how many units to buy so the loss stays within a fixed amount. Risk-reward filters which trades to take; position sizing controls how much capital is at stake. Both are covered in Trade Logic's calculators.
How do I use a stop-loss calculator for crypto?
Identify your technical invalidation level — the price where your trade idea is wrong — and use that as your stop-loss price. Enter your entry price, stop-loss price, account balance and max risk % into the calculator. It returns the exact position size so your total loss equals your risk amount if the stop triggers. Try it in the Trading Calculators.